Crypto Monarch

One of the best Q3s in history 💰 September—and with it, the quarter—closed last night. For the quarter, BTC is up 42%—the second-best Q3 in history. ETH had a record-breaking Q3 overall, up 70%. The chart looks pretty good so far: we’re holding support, but we’ve been testing it more and more often. Plus, ETF momentum is weakening—inflows are gradually declining, and yesterday saw outflows for the first time in a long while. Yes, historically, October has been a good month for crypto—it’s not called “Uptober” for nothing. But it’s also one of the most volatile months. Last year, for example, we managed to hit a new all-time high (ATH) and experience a flash crash. So we need to be prepared for volatility, but in terms of market activity and trading setups, this month should be no worse than September.

Who are these whales that have been buying up BTC since August? Take, for example, a group like Strive—we suspect very few people have even heard of them. Yet from August 24 to September 25, they bought $500 million worth of BTC—nearly as much as Strategy did during the same period. For those who didn’t know: Strive currently ranks 5th among public companies in terms of BTC holdings—behind Strategy, Twenty One, Metaplanet, and MARA.

HYPE at $100 soon? 👀 Today, Hyperliquid Labs unstaked $320 million worth of HYPE. We’ve already written about these unlockings this month, and, according to the team, the tokens will be sold over-the-counter (OTC) to an institutional investor. To put this in perspective: since the launch of the HYPE ETF, $349 million worth of HYPE has been accumulated through it. And here we have $320 million in a single transaction. In other words, even at current prices (albeit at a discount), a major player is willing to accumulate hundreds of millions in HYPE.

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📍 Arbitrage opportunity! #BNB has just seen a sharp move on Komidex.com, creating a new opportunity for us. The market has been relatively quiet over the past few days, but periods like this never last forever. Large players are still active, and occasionally we see unusually large orders hit the market. These moves are rare, but they do happen - and this time, we managed to catch one early. Here's what you need to do: 1. BUY #BNB on Binance or any other exchange: Price - $769.7 2. Go to KomiDEX and deposit #BNB there. 3. SELL #BNB on KomiDEX: Price - $880.2 4. Then withdraw your money from there and repeat the whole process. If you’d like personal assistance with your first cycle, contact me in DM: @realcryptomonarch. I’ll guide you through every stage and help you avoid common mistakes.

📍 Arbitrage is staying public. A lot of you have been asking us not to move arbitrage completely behind closed doors and to keep sharing opportunities here in the public channel. We’ve listened. For now, we’ve decided to continue publishing arbitrage setups publicly whenever we find something worth sharing. 🔥 So keep your notifications on. The next opportunity can appear at any moment, and as always, these windows don’t stay open for long.

❗️U.S. Macro: Core PCE MoM = +0.2% (expected +0.3% / prior +0.2%) YoY = +3.0% (expected +3.4% / prior +3.3%) PCE MoM = +0.3% (expected +0.3% / prior +0.2%) YoY = +3.4% (expected +3.8% / prior +3.7%) Q2 GDP = +2.2% (expected +1.5% / prior +2.1%)

👊 Uptober starts in 3 days. Since 2016, 8 out of 10 Octobers have closed in the black—historically the strongest month for BTC. 🤌 As a bonus, October 1 marks the start of a season featuring the three strongest consecutive quarters on the stock market within a four-year presidential cycle. BTC being below $83k is certainly nerve-wracking, but after the initial dip to $82k on September 3, the market then corrected down to $75k, and then the shorts were wiped out again, sending the price soaring to $87k.

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The altcoin cycle signal has switched from Bitcoin to altcoin season as today's rally spreads across the broader altcoin market, per Glassnode.