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Just In: Democrat James Talarico wins U.S. Senate race in Texas, beating Republican Ken Paxton

TEXAS ELECTION SHOCKER: JON HOLLIS WARNS REPUBLICANS FACE AN UPHILL BATTLE! Election analyst John Hollis says Gov. Greg Abbott's early deficit is a “CANARY IN THE COAL MINE,” with even traditionally safe Republican House seats struggling! “IT'S A BIG HILL TO CLIMB RIGHT NOW!” WILL THE RURAL REPUBLICAN VOTE CHANGE THE PICTURE?

TARRANT COUNTY RESULTS ARE “TROUBLING TO SAY THE LEAST” FOR PAXTON @stinchfield1776 says the early numbers out of Tarrant County are a major warning sign for Ken Paxton, with James Talarico leading there by roughly 20 points and about 80% of the vote reported. “The numbers do not look good.” Stinchfield notes Tarrant has long been considered one of the strongest Republican counties in the country and says Denton County is showing a similarly concerning pattern. @DallasXCEO, reporting from Tarrant County, was even more blunt: “It’s a bloodbath for Republicans.” Both cautioned that Election Day votes could still change the picture, but said the margins in two traditionally red counties are far from what Republicans wanted to see.

PROJECTED WINNER: BYRON DONALDS WINS FLORIDA GOVERNOR’S RACE More good news out of Florida: @SteveCortes reports Byron Donalds is the projected winner for governor. The call follows Ashley Moody’s projected victory in Florida’s U.S. Senate race. “Byron Donalds — winner in Florida.” Two major statewide races, two Republican projected winners in Florida.

BOLLING: DONALDS GAINS AS THE MAP TURNS Using RAV’s Patriot Mobile Battle Map — Built by Real America’s Voice. Powered by @PatriotMobile, @ericbolling says the Florida map is beginning to move. “20 minutes ago, this was all blue.” Bolling points back to the I-4 corridor, where he says several areas that were previously blue are now lightening or turning red as more returns come in. Byron Donalds also jumped by about a full percentage point in the latest update. At the same time, Bolling says the Florida Senate race remains extremely close, with Ashley Moody trailing Angie Nixon by only a small margin with roughly 76% of the vote reported. “This one is a tight race.”

FLORIDA RETURNS FLASH EARLY WARNING SIGNS FOR REPUBLICANS @CarolineWren says the first post-close returns are making Republicans nervous after strong Election Day turnout had initially boosted confidence. “The early returns I think are not looking that great right now for Republicans.” She points to Florida, where Anna Paulina Luna was up by fewer than 1,000 votes with 95% reporting, while Byron Donalds’ governor’s race also appeared much tighter than expected. Wren says some Hispanic counties appear to be moving away from Republicans in the early data and warns that tight Florida races could signal a difficult night elsewhere. “If these races are this tight in Florida, I think we’re going to be looking for a very long night for Republicans.” She says the next major races to watch are in Florida, South Carolina, and Ohio, with Maine likely to take much longer to resolve.

SOLOMON: KENTUCKY HOLDS RED AS HISPANIC SHIFT RAISES QUESTIONS @jsolomonReports starts in Kentucky, where the race for Thomas Massie’s former seat was on RAV’s early watch list. With the Republican candidate up roughly 20 to 30 points, Solomon says Democrats’ hopes of making it competitive appear to be fading. “That was one that Democrats hoped to cause a little mischief.” But Solomon is also watching early signs that Hispanic voters, particularly younger Hispanics, may be moving back toward Democrats compared with 2022 and 2024. “There are some early signs that Hispanics are showing up in larger numbers for Democrats.” In Indiana’s 5th District, Victoria Spartz was trailing by roughly 20 points with about half the vote counted — a race Solomon says could help show how large the national shift really is. “A lot of vote to be counted. A lot of trend lines still to be established.”

JON HOLLIS: From what we’ve heard on the ground, those lower propensity Democrats, who tend to be more moderate, they’re upset with their party, too. They don’t like the way they are going with the DSA. They don’t like where they’re going with all the rhetoric coming out of these crazy candidates. It’s really turning a lot of people off. That doesn’t mean they are willing to cross party lines, but instead it appears a lot of them will just stay home. @jonhollistx

SOLOMON: It’s about the economy tonight. Gas prices are the ultimate feel-at-home economic issue. Affordability is weighing heavily on voters.

CORTES: Decision Desk HQ is projecting Ashley Moody as the winner of Florida’s U.S. Senate race.

John Solomon: Potential upset in (IN-6) with Victoria Spartz. She's down with about 30% of the poll in. That's one of the races a lot of people are watching as a bellwether. @jsolomonReports

DECISION DESK PROJECTS ASHLEY MOODY AND ANNA PAULINA LUNA AS WINNERS IN FLORIDA Decision Desk HQ is projecting Ashley Moody as the winner of Florida’s U.S. Senate race, Anna Paulina Luna as the winner in Florida’s 13th Congressional District, and Josh Shapiro as the winner in Pennsylvania.

Eric Bolling: “40% Hispanic in the state of Texas. You think that’s not going to loom large in Ken Paxton’s vote? Think again if you don’t.” @ericbolling

Eric Bolling: Kalshi made a dramatic move toward Republicans in several major Senate battlegrounds — including Michigan, Iowa, Kansas, Alaska, Ohio, Maine, and Texas. The prediction markets are seeing a major late move toward the GOP in some of the most important Senate races on the board. @ericbolling

Ed Martin's Read On The Night: “I think it’ll be a wash-ish in terms of the House, and the Senate’s going to be Republican.”

BREAKING John Solomon: 9th Circuit lets Trump DOJ continue election integrity efforts targeting illegal foreign voters @jsolomonReports

Andrew Kolvet: As Goes Maricopa, So Goes the State. Right now is when we’re expecting to see the biggest dumps and the biggest waves of new data coming in Arizona. - Late-Afternoon and Evening Could Bring Strong Republican Turnout

Jordan Conradson: Printer and Ballot Tabulator Malfunctions Reported at Maricopa County Voting Sites

Ken Paxton: We have more Republicans in Texas than we do Democrats. Republicans Can Win Texas If Voters Turn Out. The difference between electing me and James Talarico couldn't be more different. As far as the East is from the West. Get out and vote, and get your friends out. @KenPaxtonTX

Paul Renner Breaks Down The Voting Numbers Coming Out Of Florida: "Just on election day alone a 23% margin Republican over Democrat spread, and a 600k vote lead as of 5pm over Democrats."

John Solomon: Whatever happens tonight, Trump emptied the tank—$450 million, 29 rallies, more than 40 tele-rallies, and 500 visits by Cabinet officials. Donald Trump left everything on the field. There’s no doubt about it. @jsolomonReports

BANNON’S WARROOM 🦅🇺🇸🦅 Live-Streaming on the following platforms: Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/BannonsWarRoom GETTR: https://gettr.com/user/warroom Truth Social https://truthsocial.com/@SteveBannonsWarRoom X: https://x.com/bannons_warroom?s=21&t=3931NSakXU_NxtbBNjENtw

Democrats Unchained https://tinyurl.com/d5ku9scb

The Demons on the Left https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/2117680938394280393?a=gMuVPICwbyNIGhqIM08&s=46

“Berland said all of the problems with printers at the voting locations ‘could have all been preempted because you had 30 days or 15 days or 10 days or whatever it might have been of the site being open using existing equipment.’” “Obviously,” he said, the issues are “going to hurt the Republicans more than the Democrats historically because Republicans vote on election day.” https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2026/11/course-maricopa-county-faces-polling-center-shut-downs/

FOGO: Fear of Getting Obilterated as ‘Roaring 20’s’ Mindset Cracks https://tinyurl.com/cysfa6rm