DeFi & Crypto Trading — Uniswap

✅ The probability of an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in October has plummeted to 35% following strong macro data from the U.S. – the S&P 500 has returned to growth. Crypto investors faced a haircut: BTC surged to $85.5k at one point but quickly retreated to $84k 🏴 Wednesday's events: 🔸 Trump held a closed meeting with AI leaders, during which an agreement on self-regulation for the industry was signed. 🔸 The U.S. GDP in the second quarter, according to the final estimate, grew by 2.2%, with expectations at 1.5%. The PCE inflation index in the U.S. stood at 3.4%, with expectations at 3.7%. However, the calculation methodology for PCE changed 💁. 🔸 Institutions experienced FOMO: last week, crypto funds received a net inflow of $3.55 billion – the highest since the beginning of the year. 🔸 The U.S. will release another 40 million barrels from reserves, although the reserves are already at their lowest since 1982. 🔸 Robinhood will allow round-the-clock trading of select U.S. stocks and ETFs on weekends for the first time. The platform has also added AI agents capable of autonomous trading. 🔸 Raw oil exports from the Middle East have returned to pre-war levels, as Saudi Arabia and the UAE have increased supplies through alternative pipelines, ports, and at-sea transshipments 🛢. 🔸 Moderna's shares dropped nearly 7% after a downgrade from Citi to a Sell rating with a target of $80 – the current price is $188. Bankers believe all the positive news from future new drugs is already priced in. 🔸 Tesla secured $30 billion in credit to scale up Cybercab, Optimus, and AI initiatives. 🔷 Exchange Rates: ✊ Bitcoin – $84,249 (↑1.21%) 🤌 S&P 500 – 7,710 (↑0.52%) 🦶 USD/RUB – 83.37 (↓0.74%) 💪 USD/UAH – 44.69 (↓0.38%) 🥇 Gold – $4,160 (↓0.50%) 🙆‍♂️ Oil Brent – $98.87 (↑3.35%)

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✅ The Nasdaq index has set a new all-time high (ATH), and the S&P 500 is just 1.23% away from a new record. Only BTC bears are preventing it from going above $86k for now… 🤑 Friday's events: 🔸 Trump announced that Europe has agreed to release a "massive amount" of diesel fuel reserves – the process will begin immediately. 🔸 The U.S. economy added only 29,000 jobs in September, well below the expected 90,000 – unemployment rose to 4.2% from 4.1%. Expectations for an interest rate hike by the Fed in October have dropped to 20% 🕧. 🔸 Nvidia's stock rose by 2.6% to a new record above $236 – Morgan Stanley has re-added the stock to its Top Pick list for semiconductors with a target price of $300. 🔸 Citi raised its price target for Microstrategy shares from $136 to $240 (current price $160). 🔸 The SEC proposed new rules for cryptocurrency custody for investment advisors and funds – previously, such organizations were not allowed to hold client cryptocurrency on their balance sheets. 🔸 The yield on 30-year UK government bonds rose to 6.02% – the highest since January 1997. This is an increase of 564 basis points from the 2020 low. 🔸 Inflation in the eurozone rose to 3.8% in September from 3.2% – the highest in three years. The increase was driven by a spike in energy prices due to the conflict in the Middle East. 🔸 Tesla's stock rose by 5% after reporting deliveries that exceeded expectations in Q3 – 486,532 units. SpaceX also gained 5% 🤚. 🔸 Research shows that 69.2% of about 2.9 million retail accounts on Polymarket are trading at a loss – with total losses of $338.9 million. 🔷 Exchange rates: ✊ Bitcoin – $85,216 (↑1.07%) 🤌 S&P 500 – 7,720 (↑0.70%) 🦶 USD/RUB – 84.10 (↑0.73%) 💪 USD/UAH – 44.98 (↑0.11%) 🥇 Gold – $4,134 (↓1.02%) 🙆‍♂️ Oil Brent – $102.17 (↓0.80%)

❗️ The U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI for September stands at 54.5, slightly down from the previous month's figure of 54.6.

⚠️🇬🇧🇮🇷 The UK Prime Minister announced "serious indications" of Iran's likely involvement in a US Air Force base incident but did not detail the basis for this assessment. He emphasized the investigation is ongoing. Tehran denies the allegations. The incident occurred near a Gloucestershire base, leading to the arrest of five Britons tied to suspicious vehicles and potential terrorist activity. All were released on bail but remain under investigation.