🖥 The Fed raised rates a quarter point yesterday, its first hike since 2023, and…

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🖥 The Fed raised rates a quarter point yesterday, its first hike since 2023, and signalled it isn't finished. Bitcoin recovered above $76,000 anyway. Here's what happened: 1️⃣ The hike itself was expected. What surprised people was the forecast that came with it. Four times a year each Fed official submits where they think rates should go, and this time 16 of 18 said at least one more increase is coming before year end. Back in June, eight of them expected none at all. That flip is the actual news, because it turns a single hike into the start of a cycle. 2️⃣ One morning after the CLARITY Act stalled in the Senate, two other crypto bills passed their first hurdle in the House. One would lock up the Bitcoin the US government has seized from criminals for 20 years, meaning it can't be sold. The other creates the first clear federal tax rules for crypto. Neither is law yet, both still need full votes in the House and Senate. 3️⃣ ETFs haven't turned yet. Bitcoin funds lost $296 million on Wednesday and Ether funds $224 million, a second straight day of heavy outflows despite the price recovery. A hawkish Fed and a failed bill in the same week, and Bitcoin is higher than it was on Tuesday. Nothing in this material constitutes investment or financial advice. Trading digital assets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Please conduct your own research. Terms and conditions apply. 📈 App | 📷 Insta | ✖ X

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    🟢 Bitcoin recovered to $79,640 overnight after dipping to $77,600 yesterday. Oil is nearing $100 amid escalating strikes in the Gulf, which normally pressures risk assets, yet crypto held up. What's underneath: 1️⃣ More than 71% of all Bitcoin is now sitting in profit. The historical average is 74.7%, and crossing it has usually marked the shift from bear to bull. But there's a catch they point out themselves: more coins in profit also means more people who can sell. That may explain why the push toward $82,000 keeps stalling. Glassnode adds that volatility right now is driven less by leverage or market size and more by who actually holds the coins. 2️⃣ Strategy's return to bitcoin buying lasted exactly one week. Instead of adding more, the company spent $176 million buying back its own preferred shares. Bitmine went the other way, adding 28,086 ETH and moving within reach of 5% of the entire ether supply. 3️⃣ Both Bitcoin and Ether ETFs saw small outflows on Tuesday, around $47 million and $24 million.The thing to watch is whether inflows hold through this week's Treasury buyback and Friday's inflation print. 71% in profit reads bullish until you remember every one of them can sell. Which side of that are you on? Nothing in this material constitutes investment or financial advice. Trading digital assets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Please conduct your own research. Terms and conditions apply. 📈 App | 📷 Insta | ✖ X

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