Trump Raises the Stakes: All Americans Will Receive $5,000 if Republicans Win the Congressional Elections 💸
Previously, Donald promised $5,000 only to adult U.S. citizens, but now everyone will receive money, raising the total payout to $1.58 trillion.
The probability that Democrats will gain a majority in both chambers of Congress is currently 64%, so Donald has a high chance of saving $1.58 trillion and facing a third impeachment 🧏♂️
⚠️ Flydubai Incident Suspected as Terror Attempt — UAE Attorney General
A Flydubai aircraft incident is being treated as a potential terror attempt. The co-pilot involved was an Omani national with radical extremist views. Israeli leader Netanyahu suggested the possibility of an "Iranian connection" in the unfolding story.
⚠️ The Trump national security team held extensive talks on Iran and Yemen, as reported by Axios. Trump reiterated that the conflict will conclude one way or another right after the midterm elections, predicting a drop in oil prices. In Iran, there is an expectation of a resurgence in significant hostilities in November following the U.S. congressional midterm elections.
🇺🇸 A unique moment unfolded at the virtual G7 leaders' summit as former President Donald Trump was the only participant who opted not to turn on his webcam during the conference with European counterparts.
⚠️ Western countries are developing plans to relocate embassies from Kyiv if the security situation worsens, reports The Guardian. Diplomatic missions might move to Lviv or Eastern Poland. "The situation is clearly deteriorating rapidly," said one diplomat. Meanwhile, Poland is accelerating preparations for war, creating a legal framework to avoid bureaucratic delays in case of a sharp escalation.
🇺🇸🇺🇦 A joint US-Ukrainian recovery investment fund has secured its first deal in critical minerals extraction alongside four other projects. Approximately $30 million is set to be invested in a platform with Ukraine's BGV Group for developing deposits. The initial focus will be on early-stage mineral extraction projects across Ukraine, working with rare earth metals, uranium, beryllium, and zirconium deposits. — RTRS
🛢🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia is reportedly planning a major offensive against Yemeni Houthis in the coming weeks to weaken their control over the Red Sea. Reports from Western and regional officials indicate that this move aims to alleviate the chokehold imposed by the Houthis. Further details can be found here.
⬆️🛢🇺🇸 Gasoline prices in the United States have reached their highest level on record for the month of October, marking a 40% increase compared to last year.
🚨 A cryptocurrency project, Blast, has declared bankruptcy and is shutting down. Among its investors was Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve official.
⚠️✴️ Cryptocurrency exchange Bitget is not optimistic about recovering a significant portion of the $388 million stolen, according to the CEO in an interview with CNBC.
✅ The Nasdaq index has set a new all-time high (ATH), and the S&P 500 is just 1.23% away from a new record. Only BTC bears are preventing it from going above $86k for now… 🤑
Friday's events:
🔸 Trump announced that Europe has agreed to release a "massive amount" of diesel fuel reserves – the process will begin immediately.
🔸 The U.S. economy added only 29,000 jobs in September, well below the expected 90,000 – unemployment rose to 4.2% from 4.1%. Expectations for an interest rate hike by the Fed in October have dropped to 20% 🕧.
🔸 Nvidia's stock rose by 2.6% to a new record above $236 – Morgan Stanley has re-added the stock to its Top Pick list for semiconductors with a target price of $300.
🔸 Citi raised its price target for Microstrategy shares from $136 to $240 (current price $160).
🔸 The SEC proposed new rules for cryptocurrency custody for investment advisors and funds – previously, such organizations were not allowed to hold client cryptocurrency on their balance sheets.
🔸 The yield on 30-year UK government bonds rose to 6.02% – the highest since January 1997. This is an increase of 564 basis points from the 2020 low.
🔸 Inflation in the eurozone rose to 3.8% in September from 3.2% – the highest in three years. The increase was driven by a spike in energy prices due to the conflict in the Middle East.
🔸 Tesla's stock rose by 5% after reporting deliveries that exceeded expectations in Q3 – 486,532 units. SpaceX also gained 5% 🤚.
🔸 Research shows that 69.2% of about 2.9 million retail accounts on Polymarket are trading at a loss – with total losses of $338.9 million.
🔷 Exchange rates:
✊ Bitcoin – $85,216 (↑1.07%)
🤌 S&P 500 – 7,720 (↑0.70%)
🦶 USD/RUB – 84.10 (↑0.73%)
💪 USD/UAH – 44.98 (↑0.11%)
🥇 Gold – $4,134 (↓1.02%)
🙆♂️ Oil Brent – $102.17 (↓0.80%)
🇨🇳 China grants loans to less reliable borrowers, specifically those who have nowhere else to turn.
• Three countries owe Beijing a total of $310 billion: Russia (ranked #1, at least in something), Iran, and Venezuela
• Their share accounts for 30% of China's total loan portfolio of $1 trillion, distributed across 30 countries
It is clear that in this scheme, debt serves not so much as a financial tool, but rather as a lever of influence 🐳
✅ The dollar index reached 102 – a maximum since the beginning of the year, while Brent oil returned to $101. In such conditions, one cannot expect growth in the S&P 500 and BTC; we are simply drawing the chart to the right 🕯
Thursday's events:
🔸 The ISM Manufacturing PMI for the U.S. stood at 54.5, with an expectation of 54.8 – the economy is still in an expansion phase, giving the Fed the opportunity to consider raising rates.
🔸 Citi raised its 12-month forecasts for BTC to $113,000 from $82,000 and for ETH to $3,028 from $2,240 against the backdrop of renewed inflows into ETFs 👊
🔸 Chinese oil refineries suspended fuel exports for October to replenish reserves – the global deficit will worsen.
🔸 Google introduced Gemini 4 Argon – the most advanced AI model, which frees up hundreds of terabytes of memory in data centers.
🔸 Micron reported better than expected: revenue of $54.23 billion and earnings per share of $33.42 – nearly four times more than a year ago.
🔸 Morgan Stanley lowered its target price for Apple to $355 due to limited growth potential, with the current stock price at $325.
🔸 Binance came under scrutiny from European regulators for operating in the EU without a MiCA license – the exchange continues to provide services in the region by exploiting a loophole in the law 😇
🔸 Broadcom will lend Anthropic up to $42 billion to lease its chips.
🔸 NEAR Intents was hacked for $3.8 million due to a bug in the Omni infrastructure – the vulnerability has been fixed, and all funds are promised to be fully reimbursed.
🔷 Rates:
✊ Bitcoin – $84,301 (↑0.10%)
🤌 S&P 500 – 7,644 (↓0.08%)
🦶 USD/RUB – 83.51 (↑0.17%)
💪 USD/UAH – 44.93 (↑0.56%)
🥇 Gold – $4,167 (↑0.27%)
🙆♂️ Oil Brent – $100.81 (↑2.96%)
🚫🛢🇸🇦 Middle Eastern sources, citing satellite images, report that the Houthis have launched ballistic missiles at another segment of the "East-West" oil pipeline in Saudi Arabia, making oil supply restoration nearly impossible. It's also reported that they struck the Aramco refinery in Abqaiq. More information was reported by SHIA News yesterday. Major Western media outlets have not covered this topic as of yet.
⚠️🇬🇧🇮🇷 The UK Prime Minister announced "serious indications" of Iran's likely involvement in a US Air Force base incident but did not detail the basis for this assessment. He emphasized the investigation is ongoing. Tehran denies the allegations. The incident occurred near a Gloucestershire base, leading to the arrest of five Britons tied to suspicious vehicles and potential terrorist activity. All were released on bail but remain under investigation.
⚠️ Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has not ruled out an "Iranian trace" in a FlyDubai plane incident, citing numerous reports of alleged Iranian sabotage plans. Asked about Iran's involvement, Netanyahu stated it is premature to conclude. Meanwhile, former President Donald Trump mentioned a phone conversation with Netanyahu, recounting a tale of an Israeli plumber who allegedly saved the plane, a story Trump admits to receiving without verification.
🌎 In current foreign exchange markets, the US Dollar to Chinese Yuan (USDCNY) rate stands at 6.70, while the US Dollar to Russian Ruble (USDTRUB) is at 86.80.
📬 Today's calendar includes market closures in Hong Kong and China for National Day. Key economic indicators are set for release, with Manufacturing PMI data from Australia, Japan, India, Russia, Germany, the Eurozone, the UK, Brazil, Canada, and the US throughout the day. Notably, initial jobless claims figures and multiple corporate earnings reports are also due, including from Acuity Brands, Accenture, and Nike. Russian President Putin will attend a Valdai session, and changes in consumer credit and gas pricing are announced.
📉 Stocks in the US markets are seeing mixed moves, with the DOW and Russell 2000 declining, while SP500 and Nasdaq attempt stability. Analysts highlight market weakness as more SP500 stocks trade below their 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages. Despite this, there is anticipation of a "pre-election pump" from Trump impacting stocks and cryptocurrencies.
⚠️ 🇺🇸 U.S. markets closed with a decline in government bonds and a rise in yields. The third quarter of 2026 ends with a sharp increase in U.S. bond yields.