Two of the biggest events on the crypto calendar land tomorrow and Wednesday.

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Two of the biggest events on the crypto calendar land tomorrow and Wednesday. Here's the setup: 1️⃣ The Senate votes tomorrow on whether to advance the CLARITY Act to the floor. It needs 60 votes, and Republicans hold 53 seats, so it depends on Democrats crossing over. If the vote fails, the bill is effectively finished for 2026 and regulatory uncertainty carries into next year. 2️⃣ The Fed decides Wednesday, and markets now price an 85% to 90% chance of a rate hike. At the July meeting the committee voted 9 to 3 to hold, with three members already pushing for higher rates. The bigger question is whether Warsh frames a hike as a one-off or the start of a tightening cycle. 3️⃣ Ether ETFs took in $216 million on Friday while Bitcoin ETFs saw a fourth straight day of outflows, though a small one at $13 million. That split has been building all week. Bitcoin has been rejected at $82,000 three times in two weeks and now sits at $77,600. A hike is priced in. How Warsh describes it is not. Nothing in this material constitutes investment or financial advice. Trading digital assets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Please conduct your own research. Terms and conditions apply. 📈 App | 📷 Insta | ✖ X

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  1. 01

    📢 Liquid Network, a Bitcoin sidechain built by Blockstream, paused operations on Sunday after actors calling themselves white-hat hackers withdrew about 4,000 BTC, roughly $320 million and 95% of its reserves. Three things worth knowing: 1️⃣ The attackers left an on-chain message reading "We are whitehats. Contact us on chain," and told Blockstream they would return most of the funds once the bug is patched. Nothing has come back yet. Blockstream says the cause was a software flaw in Elements, not stolen keys. Bitcoin itself was never touched, only the system that issues Liquid Bitcoin against locked BTC. 2️⃣ Friday's jobs report came in at 162,000 against expectations of 53,000, the strongest since March. But the bigger story was in the revisions. July, which everyone read last month as the month the labor market went into reverse, turned out to be positive after all. June was revised up too. The stalling labor market that traders had been pricing in largely wasn't there. 3️⃣ That reset pushed Fed hike odds higher and Bitcoin below $80,000. US markets are closed today for Labor Day, but the week fills up fast: the ECB is expected to raise rates Thursday, and US inflation lands Friday, the last major print before the Fed meets September 16. A $320 million exploit on a Bitcoin sidechain and price barely moved. Priced in, or not noticed yet? Nothing in this material constitutes investment or financial advice. Trading digital assets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Please conduct your own research. Terms and conditions apply. 📈 App | 📷 Insta | ✖ X

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    🟢 Bitcoin recovered to $79,640 overnight after dipping to $77,600 yesterday. Oil is nearing $100 amid escalating strikes in the Gulf, which normally pressures risk assets, yet crypto held up. What's underneath: 1️⃣ More than 71% of all Bitcoin is now sitting in profit. The historical average is 74.7%, and crossing it has usually marked the shift from bear to bull. But there's a catch they point out themselves: more coins in profit also means more people who can sell. That may explain why the push toward $82,000 keeps stalling. Glassnode adds that volatility right now is driven less by leverage or market size and more by who actually holds the coins. 2️⃣ Strategy's return to bitcoin buying lasted exactly one week. Instead of adding more, the company spent $176 million buying back its own preferred shares. Bitmine went the other way, adding 28,086 ETH and moving within reach of 5% of the entire ether supply. 3️⃣ Both Bitcoin and Ether ETFs saw small outflows on Tuesday, around $47 million and $24 million.The thing to watch is whether inflows hold through this week's Treasury buyback and Friday's inflation print. 71% in profit reads bullish until you remember every one of them can sell. Which side of that are you on? Nothing in this material constitutes investment or financial advice. Trading digital assets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Please conduct your own research. Terms and conditions apply. 📈 App | 📷 Insta | ✖ X

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