❗️The U.S. has started rescuing the bond market

Alex FalconVerified, @iamalexfalcon

Open in Telegram
#378Photo

❗️The U.S. has started rescuing the bond market Yesterday, the yield on 30-year U.S. government bonds soared to 5.34% — its highest level since 2007. And then, unexpectedly, the U.S. Treasury stepped in and announced that it was ready to increase the volume of its bond buybacks — from $2 billion to $4 billion. And then it added that this might not even be the limit, and the amount could be even higher. Why does this matter? It’s pretty simple. When U.S. government bonds are yielding more than 5% with almost no risk, investors naturally start asking themselves: why should I even bother getting into stocks and crypto? Well, the outcome is obvious. And now the U.S. is trying to push those yields down: it creates additional demand for bonds → their prices rise → yields fall. When that happens, money starts looking for higher returns again. That’s exactly how the market reacted to the news today. As soon as bond yields dropped sharply, gold moved higher, while Bitcoin gained around 4.5% and climbed back above $71,000. The most interesting part is that the Treasury hasn’t actually carried out those promised buybacks yet. For now, the market has simply heard the promise and has already started pricing it in. And if those promises do turn into even larger buybacks, it could be a very positive scenario for stocks — and especially for crypto 👀

Open in Telegram
Views20,673+51%vs avg
Forwards12
Reactions62
Comments—

Reactions

  • ❤37
  • 🐳10
  • 👍8
  • 🔥5
  • ❤‍🔥2

More from Alex Falcon

  1. 01
    Views21K
    Forwards5
    Reactions97
    Comments—
  2. 02

    Why are billionaires buying plumbers? Who would have thought, but the biggest investment funds have found a new favorite asset. They are rushing to buy plumbing, electrical, and air-conditioning service companies on a massive scale. For context: since 2022 alone, funds have bought almost 800 such companies in the US. The most striking case is Apex Service Partners. In 2019, Alpine started bringing small trade service companies together under this company. Back then, Apex’s revenue was around $40 million. Today, it is already more than $3 billion, while the entire company was recently valued at around $10 billion. Why does this work? The US home services market is worth around $700 billion, but it is still made up of thousands of small firms. Funds buy them one by one, consolidate advertising, procurement, and management – and build one large network. And demand is very strong: pipes and air conditioners still need to be fixed, homes in the US are getting older, while the number of skilled tradespeople is declining. That is why, following the same model, companies providing elevator, fire-system, roofing, and even garage-door services are already being bought up. Essentially, funds have found a way to turn a very ordinary local business into companies worth billions of dollars. Most likely, the US has once again launched a new business model. And this proven model will quickly start being copied in other countries, building similarly large networks out of local service businesses.

    Photo
    Views20.6K
    Forwards18
    Reactions70
    Comments—
  3. 03
    Views19K
    Forwards37
    Reactions171
    Comments—
  4. 04
    Views16.4K
    Forwards21
    Reactions99
    Comments—
  5. 05
    Views10.8K
    Forwards17
    Reactions82
    Comments—

All posts of Alex Falcon